Thursday, October 18, 2018

Week 6, or a new unexpected Tidwell winner


Week 6 brought us our top team getting leveled, and the rest of the league continuing to level off. It’s still early (not quite halfway through the season) but I’m sure there’s more than one panicky owner.

Dancin’ Dennis Nedry (143.5, 4-2) vs. The Jeff Fisher Effect (113, 2-4)
Todd Gurley scored two TDs and rushed for over 200 yards. And that WASN’T the highest score of the week for Dancin’ Dennis. Nope, that belongs to Tyreek Hill, who scored three TDs. On the flip side of the ball, Melvin Gordon scored three TDs of his own. I’m not sure how many matchups have three 30 point scorers in our league history, but it can’t be too many.

Iron Ryan (127.5, 3-3) vs. Team Provost (123.5, 3-3)
It’s always good when all your skill players score double digit points, as they did for Iron Ryan. Provost would have been close, but Amari Cooper got concussed and scored 0 points. I know you can’t plan on injuries, but it hurts a little more when you’ve got a double-digit scoring WR on your bench, and basically playing a warm body in that spot could have resulted in a win. Iron Ryan continues a three-game win streak.

Pedro Pickles (137, 2-4) vs. Hardcore Sacks (78, 5-1)
Our top team against one of the bottom teams and...wow. Hardcore had Drew Brees on bye, but there was nothing he could have done this week. Antonio Brown and David Johnson were what he got. Sometimes, that’s what happens when you have two starters who are Cleveland Browns. Pickles has ridden Sony Michel and Patrick Mahomes most of the year so far, and this week they led him to victory. It’s never a good thing when you’re starting Austin Ekeler in one of your RB spots. Pickles badly needs Lev Bell to come back. And play.

Released Dix On Boobies (163.5, 3-3) vs. Panic Time Squad (103, 3-3)
Speaking of Lev Bell coming back, Boobies (heh) hopes that never happens. James Conner put up his second straight enormous week, and Kareem Hunt got into the act too: Conner and Hunt combined for 55.5 points. Every player in the lineup for Boobies broke double figures, and it never hurts when your kicker scores 22 points. PTSd pulled most of the right strings but his newly acquired toy in Dion Lewis did not help him out at all. Neither did Eli Manning. “But Commish, PTSd started Big Ben at QB.” Why, yes, astute observer, he did. But Eli Manning is in charge of getting the ball to Odell Beckham...and that didn’t go as well as it could have.

Death Valley Driver (89.5, 4-2) vs. Scrote Squad (81, 1-5)
If there were actual game tape to review of these games, there’s little doubt this one would be last. Against anyone but Hardcore’s total, neither of these teams would have had a chance. Let’s see….uh…. Robert Woods was the high scorer in the matchup (non-QB edition) with 15.5 points. The low score? The 8th-round draft pick Jaguars defense scored -1 against the vaunted (haha, couldn’t say it with a straight face) Cowboys offense. DVD has really come crashing back to earth after a monster first four weeks. But he sits at 4-2 nonetheless.

Money Makes The World Go Around
I’ve seen it all now. After posting a bottom-10 all-time score just TWO WEEKS AGO, Released Dix On Boobies wins his first ever Tidwell Award. Congrats to him. Somehow, his team is good now?

Interesting thing about this: Boobies (heh) score is the second highest in the league this season. The other 3 of the Top 4 all came in Week 4. Which just so happens to be the week Boobies (heh) bottomed out with 59.5 points. I’m gonna go out on a limb and say this is the largest single season swing (104 points) in league history.

Up Next
Look for the usual Mid-Season report following next weekend’s games when we’ll be, ya know, mid-season. Until next week, enjoy this nerdy game we all play.

And when are we getting together to watch games?


Tuesday, October 9, 2018

Week 5, or The Middle Gets Muddy


Week 5 has given us a clear leader, and then a muddled middle of the pack.

PLEASE READ THE FOLLOWING ITALICIZED TEXT:

Also in the middle of the 1 p.m. games, we had some controversy with our new IR spot. I mentioned this in Week 2’s notes. Basically, if your guy doesn’t have the red “IR” next to his name, he can’t go in the IR spot on your roster.

Thank you. You may now return to your usual reading habits for the notes...

OK, shall we recap? Let’s recap.

Team Provost (81, 3-2) vs. Death Valley Driver (75.5, 3-2)
Team Provost dusted off that old Provost Magic™ in holding off DVD this week. It seemed very easy for DVD to come back from down 14 with Alvin Kamara and Adrian Peterson still to go on Monday night, but the Saints decided it was important to give Mark Ingram the ball and basically give Kamara a week off before their bye week, and Peterson got injured: the two combined to score 8.5 points. Womp womp. Provost basically only had good RBs (which is pretty common when you start Saquon and Zeke), which put him at a major disadvantage, until Kamara ghosted and Peterson broke. After showing out last week, Amari Cooper and Golden Tate were quiet this week, but it didn’t matter. Our top scoring team put up the lowest point total this week.

Panic Time Squad (123, 3-2) vs. Scrote Squad (92.5, 1-4)
Well, Odell Beckham decided to remind everyone that he’s a factor, even though the Giants lost a heartbreaker. Funny part of this for PTSd - he could have had even more points if he played Kenyan Drake and Isaiah Crowell, though no one blames him for sitting them because they combined for 2 points last week, and 51 this week. Scrote bet into the TD streak of Calvin Ridley, which didn’t work out. Scrote is just overmatched most weeks and needs his guys to blow up. When they just blow, there’s very little chance for him.

Hardcore Sacks 2.0 (138, 5-0) vs. Dancin’ Dennis Nedry (117, 3-2)
Hardcore becomes the second team in as many seasons to start the year 5-0, and his team looks every bit as dominant as last year’s champ. It’s tough to keep Antonio Brown down for a whole game, and even though the Cardinals are an absolute dumpster fire, David Johnson continues to get his. Also, Davante Adams. DDN had a promising start, but has fallen off of late, even though Todd Gurley continues to destroy NFL defenses. When I say “fallen off”, it’s a lot of bad luck. His 117 points would have beaten about half the league. He just happened to play against this week’s Tidwell winner. And he’s the second highest scoring team in the league.

Iron Ryan (106, 2-3) vs. The Jeff Fisher Effect (84.5, 2-3)
Tom Brady had a big Thursday night, which launched Iron Ryan to a lead, and then when Brandin Cooks went down with a concussion in his first target on Sunday, JFE was done. It’s really hard to win when you have an injured guy put up a 0, and your defense put up a -2. Iron Ryan is on a two-game winning streak and recently texted the Commish, proclaiming he was going to win the championship. He’s feeling pretty good about his team, even if perhaps a bit disillusioned. Yes, Ryan, I understand there was some sarcasm to that claim, but damn, if it doesn’t look good when you win again.

Released Dix On Boobies (123, 2-3) vs. Pedro Pickles (119, 1-4)
This was a hard luck loss for Pickles, especially since his score would have beaten half the league. Only thing Pickles could have done differently was play Shady McCoy instead of Chris Thompson, but even that would have only gotten him to 122 points, and still a heartbreaking loss. Boobies (heh), meanwhile, used James Conner’s 33 points and a garbage time TD from Demaryius Thomas to win his second game of the season, and put up a big point total. Boobies (heh) seems to be the biggest boom or bust team we have. He’s either well over 100, or down in the 60s (or lower).

This Week’s Tidwell Award
Hardcore Sacks ran train on the league this week, picking up his second Tidwell award. I’d put another Rod Tidwell gif in here, but the gif sites are blocked at work. Hardcore and Dancin’ Dennis have two Tidwells, while our top scorer, DVD, only has one.

Random Score-dom
It’s not predictive really at all, but I find Iron Ryan’s and Pedro Pickles’ week-by-week scores interesting:
Iron Ryan: 86, 85, 85.5, 104, 106
Pedro Pickles: 122, 121, 95, 95.5, 119
The clusters are interesting. Pickles is also fifth in points for, and should be better than his 1-4 record. For context, he’s fourth in points against.

We move on to Week 6, dreaming of wins to separate the middle of the pack.

Tuesday, October 2, 2018

Week 4, or the Best of Scores and the Worst of Scores

Week 4 in the NFL featured four overtime games, one of which included an inexplicable re-spotting of a ball to rob Cleveland of a first down. Also included in the weekend slate, the return of your Commissioner’s team namesake Jeff Fisher in broadcast booth.


Week 4 in STPS was the highest total point output the league has ever seen, and also included one of the lowest individual scores our league has ever seen. Oh, fantasy football...


Team Provost (158.5, 2-2) vs. Dancin’ Dennis Nedry (112.5, 3-1)
No more dancin’ this week. But it’s not because he didn’t put up a good score. It’s because Provost did, knocking DDN from the ranks of the unbeaten. Zeke, Saquon, Amari and Golden went nuts, giving Provost the third-highest score of the week. There wasn’t much DDN could do. He DID leave 88 points on his bench, including huge games by Corey Davis and Cooper Kupp, but the major concern could be Jordan Howard’s 2 points in this one. Running back points are hard to come by, and he’ll need some support for Gurley.

Scrote Squad (135, 1-3) vs. Pedro Pickles (95, 1-3)
Pickles middling luck continued this week. He’s got the second-most points against in the first four weeks (behind only Scrote Squad), and his decision to draft Lev Bell and Shady McCoy in two of the first three rounds looks like it’s hurting him bad. He’s hoping for some reprieve from Sony Michel, and if Lev Bell comes back healthy, he could make some noise. As long as he’s not 1-6 when Bell comes back. Scrote, meanwhile, has been putting up points the last two weeks. And he left Jared Goff and Calvin Ridley on his bench. Really, both of these teams could be better than 1-3. Both would be 2-2 playing against the league average (fun stats like this can be found on our 2018 Stats sheet).

Death Valley Driver (164, 3-1) vs. The Jeff Fisher Effect (159.5, 2-2)
This one was a fireball matchup that had JFE watching the Monday Night game very closely. Neither of these owners would have lost to anyone else this week, or anyone else in any week of the season to this point. DVD had the big explosion from Alvin Kamara, and smaller explosions from Nuke Hopkins and Sterling Shepard, while JFE had blowups from Melvin Gordon, Brandin Cooks and George Kittle. This game smashed the record for most total points in a matchup (323.5). The highest previous total was 298.5 in Week 3 of 2015 between Team Arby’s (Ryan) and Peterson Venkman, Phd (in a matchup that gave us the highest single game score ever).

Hardcore Sacks 2.0 (109.5, 4-0) vs. Panic Time Squad (95.5, 2-2)
Last week, I pointed out that Panic Time Squad probably was early in changing his name and shouldn’t panic. Well, I take it back. Again. When your two RBs combine for a total of TWO points, you probably ought to panic. And when the FIVE RBs on your roster (granted, one is injured) combine to not reach double digits, you probably ought to panic. And yet, he STILL almost pulled it off, partly thanks to a downright terrible day from Drew Brees. Hardcore got production from everywhere else though, icing the win, and moving to 4-0 for the first time.

Iron Ryan (104, 1-3) vs. Released Dix On Boobies (59.5, 1-3)
Well, Iron Ryan got his first win of the year, thanks to, as he pointed out, a 9-point head start granted to him by Boobies (heh) and the Vikings D. And then, going into Monday Night, Boobies (heh) had a legitimate shot at the worst weekly output our league has ever seen. And then Kareem Hunt rescued him from that embarrassment. I’ll have more on the futility of Boobies (heh) this week in a minute. For now, we sit here and wonder, “How in the name of Terry Bradshaw did this team score 143.5 in Week 1? He’s failed to score even half of that total in a game since. Kareem Hunt scored a whopping 42.8% of his points this week, and if Hunt hadn’t gone off on Monday, we’d seriously by talking about an all-time futile score.

Masterpiece of Futility
At the end of Sunday night’s games, Released Dix On Boobies was sitting on a total score of 30 points. The all-time low score for a week is 40.5, achieved by Cusick in Week 4 of 2015. In the “modern era” of the league (after we expanded and added the .5ppr), we have now had 9 sub-60 point scores, including in the postseason. Here they are, listed lowest to only slight less low:

SCORE
YEAR - WEEK
OWNER
40.5
2015 - Week 4
Cusick
48
2017 - Week 7
Ryan
48
2017 - Week 8
Chris
50
2016 - Week 16*
Chris
55
2016 - Week 14
Nate
56.5
2015 - Week 9
Chris
59
2016 - Week 8
Kyle
59
2017 - Week 3
Pete
59.5
2018 - Week 4
Chris
*denotes postseason
These are the lowest of the low scores, and you’ll note that Chris has four of them. (Also note: I threw out the “Kyle vs. Ryan Kicker Fiasco of 2016”)



Show Him The Money
Not surprisingly, Death Valley Driver finished as the Tidwell Award winner this week. The Effect’s 159.5 is now the highest non-Tidwell winning score, besting the previous high of 130 by Pedro Pickles last year in Week 8.


"I'll take Interesting Scoring for $200, please, Alex"
Pedro Pickles has had a great run of scores in our first 4 weeks. Here they are, in order:
122
121
95.5
95
I don't even know how to "analyze" that, it's just pretty cool to see.


Week 5 continues the fireworks known as Fantasy Football, and starts with the Colts-Patriots Thursday night game. The marquis matchup in our league this week pits Hardcore Sacks (4-0) vs. Dancin' Dennis Nedry (3-1). Sunday Night Football NBC would probably steal this game for Sunday Night Football. You know, if watching fantasy football matchups were good TV.


-Commish