Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Week 3, or Shorter, but with GIFs

Week 3 expectation: the cream would continue to rise to the top, while whatever is not the cream (is that just milk?) would continue to sink.

Week 3 reality: well, we have a single 3-0 team, and then we have a muddled mess in the middle. Yes, it's Week 3, but I'm genuinely surprised we don't have an 0-3 team.

RECAPS!

Hamilton Rod and Gun tops Death Valley Driver in high scoring matchup, 165-134.5
Tough loss for DVD, who posted the third highest score of the week. HRG thanks the Miami Community College defense for 23 Amari Cooper points, and Philip Rivers for his patent refusal to throw to anyone but Keenan Allen. DVD thanks Drew Brees for getting injured so that the Saints had no alternative than to hand the ball to Alvin Kamara a million times.

Team Provost blasts Released Dix On Boobies, 138-81
Mike Evans had done nothing through two weeks. Nothing. And then Week 3....

It was like Jameis Winston was apologizing for all the times he didn't throw to Mike Evans. Like, ever in his career. Provost also has Tyler Lockett (and Russell Wilson) to thank for his near-Tidwell winning performance. Boobies had good weeks from an RB (Dalvin Cook) and a WR (Julio) but the partner to each scored a combined 7 points, which aided his downfall in this one.

Jeff Fisher Effect obliterates Hardcore Sacks, 121.5-92
It worked out (at least this week) for JFE trading for a QB. It's his highest QB score in at least two years, and about double his previous highest TWO QB week scores. He has garbage time to thank for Russell Wilson's performance. Also, Darren Waller who seemingly came out of nowhere, and also seems to benefit from the lack of AB in Oakland. Hardcore, meanwhile, had a reasonable day, but leaving Cooper Kupp's two-TD performance on the bench hurts. His team wasn't bad...just not good enough this week.

Pedro Pickles takes out Utah Falco 114-98.5
After Week 1, Falco looked like a wagon. Now, he looks a little more like the pickup truck that Shane Falco drove in The Replacements after the striking players rolled it over. He got the needed big week from Christian McCaffrey, but didn't have enough firepower to overcome Pickles' new toy, Mark Ingram (part of the aforementioned Russell Wilson to JFE trade). Also, Patrick Mahomes was Patrick Mahomes.

Hooked on a Thielen softens Iron Ryan, 109.5-83 
After two very large weeks, HOTA came down to Earth a little bit this week, posting the lowest winning score of the week. Lamar Jackson looked a mortal, but can still run like whoa. Teamwise, his scores were all clustered between 9 and 18.5 (kickers don't count). Iron Ryan is going to go about as far as Lev Bell and the Jets "offense" can carry him. Poor Lev now has TWO offenses he needs to carry. Calvin Ridley also melted Iron's chances on this day.

Money? Yeah, Money.
This week's Tidwell is our first repeat winner of the season: Hamilton Rod and Gun.
He's certainly looking like the most dominant team in the league through 3 weeks.


Sorry for the delay in this week's notes. Working on the road this week, and haven't had much time to sit and write. Perhaps Week 4 will be better.

Good luck in Week 4!

Except Ryan, who's playing The Commish.

Tuesday, September 17, 2019

Week 2, or The Second Week of the Season

After Week 2, we've got two 2-0 teams who look really good, a bunch of 1-1 teams, and then two teams that are 0-2 and are probably looking at their teams in opposite ways.

Team Provost (1-1) kills Death Valley Driver (1-1), 103.5-97
It's the second straight 103.5-point output for Team Provost, but this time it was enough to earn a victory. Saquon and Mark Andrews (Mark Andrews!) were his big time point getters. DVD, meanwhile, got 35(!) from the Patriots defense against the Dade County Community College Dolphins, a major advantage that was offset by a few very defensive games for his studs, and Matt Prater losing a point-and-a-half for him.

Released Dix On Boobies (1-1) smashes The Jeff Fisher Effect (0-2), 134-87.5
Normally, waiting for Odell Beckham to go on a Monday night would be met with a "Oh, I've got a shot." Instead, JFE barely watched Monday Night Football, knowing he'd need 70 points from Beckham to win. TO his "credit", OBJ did his best, posting 27 points. Boobies (heh) had 4 players score in the 20s, who would have beaten the entire starting squad for JFE.

Iron Ryan (2-0) sacks Hardcore Sacks (1-1), 113-78
This is one of those weeks for Hardcore to chalk up to bad luck. His starting QB gets hurt (also out for the season now) and almost every player on his bench would have been a better play than any starter, except playing a lineup like that would have given you heartburn. Iron Ryan, meanwhile, started the same lineup for the second straight week to the same victorious result.

Hooked On A Thielen (1-1) snacks on Pedro Pickles (0-2), 134.5-109
Both QBs in this matchup were the top scorers: the difference came in the other positions. Patrick Mahomes' 30 points were the high in this matchup, but the next 5 highest scores belonged to HOTA. And 20.5 of HOTA's points came from the top target of Mahomes in Travis Kelce.

Hamilton Rod and Gun (2-0) shoots Utah Falco (1-1), 105.5-76.5
Last week, Utah Falco was in the running for the Tidwell. This week, he put up the lowest score in the league, thanks in large part to Christian McCaffrey's 5 points this week (compared to 38 in Week 1). HRG didn't have a player break the 20 point plateau, but only had 3 players in single digits.

The Money Line
Hooked On A Thielen is this week's Tidwell Award winner, barely edging out Boobies (heh) but a half-point following the Monday Night game. Boobies (heh) got 0 points out of his Monday night player David Njoku, while HOTA got 17 from Nick Chubb. Even a single catch from Njoku would have split this pot.

Which reminds me: do we HAVE a procedure for a Tidwell if it's two equal scores? This is at least the second time we've only had a half-point spread at the top, and it seems only a matter of time until we have two equal scores up there. Thoughts?

Put Your Records On
I've been working on updating our League History page, along with our Best Ball stats and our yearly statistics. It's a lot of data entry, and I have less empty time to fill at work, so I apologize that they're getting updated a little slower than in previous seasons. But here are links to the Google Sheets where I track all those fun things:

STPS Complete League History

2019 Stats

Best Ball Sheet

What's in the Best Ball Sheet, Commish?
The Best Ball sheet has a tab for each week of the season. Within each week, I'll track:

  1. the best score from the player's your drafted
  2. the best score from the players on your roster for that week
For example, Hardcore Sacks dropped Vance McDonald after Week 1. Each week, I'll add McDonald's score into Hardcore's "Drafted Team Best Ball," but leave him off of the team for that week. I'll also show the Best Ball scenario of the guys you had on your roster that week, regardless of whether or not your drafted them.

Also, as part of that, I'll track the percentage of the highest scoring players you played that week. In Week 1, HRG played 100% of the players that would have given him his best score that week. By comparison, Utah Falco, Team Provost and Boobies (heh) played 66.7% of their "best" players.

And then, just for fun, I'll compile the Best Ball score of ALL the free agents we didn't have in our lineups that week. You can see that in Week 1, the free agent team scored 216 points! I'm interested to see if anyone manages to beat that team any week. Based on Week 1, I'd say it's a long shot.


Anyway....We're on to Week 3!




Wednesday, September 11, 2019

Week 1, or The Week Where Everyone Broke 100 Except One...

So Week 1 is in the books, and it could perhaps show us that there are some obvious haves, and obvious have-nots.

To the recaps!

Utah Falco rolls over Team Provost, 136.5-103.5
If you'd have told me the highest scoring player for UF would be Christian McCaffrey, I'd have believed it. If you told me Team Provost's highest scorers would be Marlon Mack and Mark Andrews, I'd have said you were nuts. But here we are. 


Hamilton Rod And Gun blasts Hooked on a Thielen, 173.5-111.5
After earning a mediocre draft grade, HRG handed the Commish a nice plate to crow to eat. His team put up the highest Week 1 score in league history, thanks to touchdowns from everyone in his lineup, save for JuJu and Stephen Gostkowski. Hooked on a Thielen had a pretty good week, but just happened to run up against a buzz saw. Of course, it's harder when your team's namesake catches 3 of the Vikings' 10 passes in an entire game. Hooked is hoping that doesn't continue.

Iron Ryan goes hard, breaks Pedro Pickles, 130.5-125.5
Sammy freakin' Watkins. While he's not going to do THAT most weeks, he's going to be more than useful for Pickles. Unfortunately, Pickles firepower wasn't enough to beat Iron Ryan. Lev Bell, Dak and the Titans D carried him to victory this week. We'll see if the 34 that Dak put up can be replicated against a team that actually plays defense (unlike the Giants). 


Hardcore Sacks drops Released Dix On Boobies, 136-104
I'm gonna be honest: I didn't think Josh Jacobs was going to do THAT against the Broncos. Though it's not hard to believe, since the Raiders don't have much in the way of talent. Austin Ekeler also had a big week for Hardcore. Boobies (heh) was kind of up and down, getting a good week out of Dalvin Cook (partly because his team didn't throw the ball, like, at all, and partly because he's a good player) and medium days the rest of the way around.


Death Valley Driver slips by The Jeff Fisher Effect, 101-97
When the person writing the notes is the person affected by the ending of that Texans-Saints game, it's easy to pay close attention. Deshaun Watson and Drew Brees put on a show at the end of the first Monday night game this week, with Watson doing just a little more than Brees at just the right time. The four points that separated DVD and JFE this week were basically earned in the last 37 seconds of that Monday night game. It was riveting to watch. 

Shake Your Money Maker
Hamilton Rod and Gun is our Tidwell winner this week, posting the league's highest ever Week 1 score (previous high was 166.5).


There's some new stuff I'll be tracking this year in our league history documents. First, as we discussed at the draft, I'll be tracking each team's "best ball" score using only the drafted players. As an added best ball bonus, I also plan to track best ball scores weekly, based on who is on your roster. And ideally, I'll run a percentage from that to see who played the highest percentage of their best players every week.

I'll post links to the League History, the 2019 stats sheet and the best ball tracking sheet in a subsequent post once they are completely updated.

On to week 2, where your commish is going to do his best to avoid an 0-2 start from his terrible assembly of talent.

Tuesday, September 3, 2019

Welcome to Season 6! of STPSFF

It's Season 6 of the Smarter Than Phil Simms Fantasy Football League. With this sixth season, our league now has more seasons than:

  • Quantum Leap
  • Ally McBeal
  • The A-Team
  • Breaking Bad


Every one of our seasons has started with a draft. What is a draft, you ask? (OK, you didn't ask just.... just....ok?)

Draft: (n) - a procedure whereby new or existing sports players are made available for selection or reselection by the teams in a league, usually with the earlier choices being given to the weaker teams.

Please note the use of the word "usually." Because it's fantasy football, and we like chaos, it doesn't really apply. Or does it? Perhaps the Commish draft grades will tell us.

See below for a complete breakdown on each team's draft picks. Each roster is listed underneath the team name, along with both grades bestowed by the PrimeTime Draft software (the one that factors in keepers, and the one that doesn't, in that order), along with the coveted Commish grade. OK, it's not coveted. In fact, it's downright worthless. Any draft grade means nothing, but it seems fun anyway.


In draft order, beginning with #1 overall:
Hardcore Sacks
D-Hop, A-Aron Jones, Josh Jacobs, Chris Godwin, Kupp, Dede Westside, Ekeler, Christian "Don't Call Me Cousins" Kirk, Vance McDonald, DJ (keeper), Rashaad Penny, Big Ben, Trubisky, Suck-Up, Iggles
PrimeTimeDraft grades: D, D+
Commish Grade: C

Kind of a rough draft (as in, the start of something that will need to be refined) for Hardcore. There's a LOT of unproven, but possibly exciting talent from this draft. The back-to-back QBs at the turn seemed very un-Hardcore-like, but if you believe in the home-road splits for Big Ben, it might turn out to be a good thing.

Iron Ryan
Lev Bell, The Whizzinator, Brady's BFF, George Kittle, D.J. Moore, Calvin Ridley, Iron Man's Brain, The Non-Criminal OJ (keeper), Kenyan "Worse Than the Rapper" Drake, Michael Gallup, Rolls Royce Freeman, Dak, Peyton Haircut, Rosas, Greek Gods
PrimeTimeDraft grades: D-, C 
Commish Grade: D+

I don't want his RBs. Or his receivers. Or his tight end. S. Plural. I know there was a tight end as a keeper, but man, drafting a second one thinking "Hey, I could use this guy as a flex was a bold move, Cotton, let's see how it works out for him.

Pedro Pickles
Michael "Not Mike" Thomas, Frost Bite Helmet Guy, Devonta, Julie Ertz's Husband, Tom Brady's Binkie, Sammy Watkins, Derrius Juice, Miles Sanders, Fuller, UMass Andy, Russell Wilson, Mahomes (keeper), Rams, Fairbairn, Tom Brady's Injured New Toy
PrimeTime Draft grades: A, A
Commish Grade: B-

The Zero-RB movement would love this team, because there are no RBs here. Lots of hope Freeman and Guice come back from injury, and James White repeats last year. He's also hoping Mahomes repeats last year.

Hamilton Rod And Gun
Zeke, Kel Allen, Amari Cooper, D-Henry, JuJu (keeper), Tevin, Duke, Evan Engram, Only Guy Sam Darnold Has To Throw To, Wentz, Zeke's Backup, Famous Jameis, The Defense That Was Good Two Years Ago, Gostkowski, Torn-up Lamar Miller
PrimeTime Draft grades: B, B+
Commish Grade: B-

Not an awful draft, but not a great one either, really. Tony Pollard could be rendered useless by the time you read this (or I finish writing it). Derrick Henry might not be any good at all. But he's got 3 good WRs. And also Amari Cooper.

Death Valley Driver
Dave Adams, Tyreek, Just A Guy Carson, D-Mont, Ty Asshole, Watson, Kamara (keeper), Sterling Silver, Devin "Not Related to Mike" Singletary, The Name No One Can Believe The Draft Voice Got Right, Austin Hooper, Heisman Kyler, Bills D, Gronk, Mike "We Don't Need To Stinkin'" Badgley
PrimeTime Draft grades: B, B
Commish Grade: B

To be clear, the Commish grade here is about as much a commentary on the speed of his picks than on how good his team is. He's a top-half of the league team right now for sure. I'd be worried about playing against his starting WRs and one of his RBs.

Team Provost
Saquon (keeper), Mike Evans, Sony, Russell Wilson's Only Target, Top RB for Andrew Luck's Former Team, Deep Threat for Dink & Dunk Matthew Stafford, Curtis Samuel, Latavius, Donte "Keep Hoping He's Good" Moncrief, Mark Andrews, Cam, Bears D, Mile Boykin, Robbie Gould, The Gunslinger With 9 Kids
PrimeTime Draft grades: C-, D+
Commish Grade: D+

He didn't draft from a boat, but his team will probably sink. Top 2 looks decent, the rest could be VERY scary. Though Curtis Samuel is an early dark horse for next year's keeper.

Hooked On A Thielen
Catching Kelce, Chubb, Lenny Fournette, Brandin "1000 yards" Cooks, Red Rocket's Only Guy Left, Phillip Lindsay, Corey Davis, A-Rod, Manny Sanders, Team Namesake (keeper), Jordan "Used To Be Good" Howard, L-Jax, Ravens D, Wil Lutz, Ty-Mont
PrimeTime Draft grades: B+, B+
Commish Grade: B+

Kelce in the first round seems high, but then his skill position starters look very above average. I'd be worried about Mr. Fournette, but if that's the question mark here, you're doing OK. Solid draft by Brooks.

Released Dix On Boobies
Julio, Dalvin Cook, Damien Williams, Ho-Tel Mo-Tel Golladay Inn, Mike Williams, A-Rob, Red Rocket's Security Blanket, James Conner (keeper), Prince Njoku, Baker, Geronimo, Kareem, Vikings, Justin Tucker, Conner's back-up
PrimeTime Draft grades: B, B
Commish Grade: B

There's a lot of hope here that Damien Williams is good, and LeSean McCoy doesn't take his job. And that the Browns offense is actually good. If AJ Green comes back healthy, he could be the steal of the draft.

The Jeff Fisher Effect
OBJ, Mixon, Stefon Diggity, Mark Ingram, Tarik, Josh Gordon, Melly (keeper), Hunter Henry, Brees, Pettis, Fitz, Breida, Chargers, Greg The Leg, Nyheim Hines
PrimeTime Draft grades: B, B+
Commish Grade: B

Possibly very solid up top, with potential for Melvin Gordon to rush in and save the day. As discussed during the draft, a weird draft by JFE's standards, but it looks alright.

Utah Falco
Gurley, Run CMC, Robert Woods, Alshon, Jared Cook, Shady, Tyrell Wellick, Chris Hogan?, I.T.O. Smith, Matty Ice, Delanie "Needs A" Walker, Goff, Saints, Butker (I Hardly Know Her), Mr. Irrelevant
PrimeTime Draft grades: C-, D
Commish Grade: D

His RBs could be good, if Gurley is healthy. His WRs look shaky. His TEs looks meh. There will be a lot of waiver wire work to get this team to the playoffs.



Thus endeth the recap.

Thus beginneth the season! Thursday night can't come soon enough Get your Packers and Bears in your lineups (I mean, if you want them), and enjoy some of this silly hobby we all enjoy.

And again, I want to say "thank you" to you guys in this league. There are so many horror stories of bad leagues and bad leaguemates. As a commissioner, I couldn't ask for a better group of owners who pay on time, set lineups every week, and interact with each other. I'm glad to have each of you.

Except, beginning now, you are all my sworn enemies! 

Tuesday, December 25, 2018

Playoffs - Round 2, or A New Champ Is Crowned

Congratulations to Death Valley Driver on his first STPS Championship!

I gave him shit all year for getting lucky and winning so many games with scores under 100 points. But when it mattered, Death Valley Driver put up big weeks, and rolled to his first title. DeAndre Hopkins was huge for him twice, as was Derrick freaking Henry, and neither opponent was able to put up much of a fight. Fantasy football is weird sometimes. Find the right guys at the right time, and you can win. He's the fifth different champion in the league's five-year history.

Here are the final standings according to ESPN, final record in parentheses:

  1. Death Valley Driver (11-5)
  2. The Jeff Fisher Effect (8-8)
  3. Hardcore Sacks (11-4-1)
  4. Dancin' Dennis Nedry (9-6-1)
  5. Scrote Squad (7-9)
  6. Panic Time Squad (7-8-1)
  7. Iron Ryan (7-8-1)
  8. Released Dix On Boobies (5-11)
  9. Pedro Pickles (7-9)
  10. Team Provost (5-11)
Team Provost becomes the first owner to win both a Championship AND be The Worst.

Couple Other Random Tidbits
Scrote Squad is the winner of the extra 5 bucks in scratch tickets for the 2019 Draft.

Pedro Pickles had 81 points scored against him in both weeks of the regular season; his scores in those weeks were separated by 107 points (52.5 in Week 15, 159.5 in Week 16).

End of Season: The Gathering
There will be more fun, frivolity and random stats at our End of Season: The Gathering coming up on January 6. Let's meet at the RumbleSeat again, as it appears to be the unofficial STPS Bar, unless anyone has any other ideas. (Perhaps the Birthday Boy could suggest a location?) Think about any possible rule changes you'd like to propose. I don't think there's much we can do to make the league better, but let me know what you think.

Thanks for a great season. I'm happy to have such engaged league mates, and am lucky to have a group of guys I enjoy participating in this silly hobby with!

See you on the 6th!

Wednesday, December 19, 2018

Playoffs - Round 1, or "This Is It, Don't Get Scared Now"


What a weird week! So incredibly low scoring (with one exception). But the NFL had a weird week too. Such is real life, sports, real-life sports and fantasy sports.

Recaps? Ok, sure.

Jeff Fisher Effect holds off Hardcore Sacks, advances to second straight title game
A combination of bad luck and shrewd managing allowed Fisher Effect a chance to defend his title. Joe Mixon went off for 26 points (the most in this matchup). Melvin Gordon’s replacement Justin Jackson managed a TD, which kept Fisher’s head above water on Thursday. And then came Sunday, an injury to Aaron Jones, and Eric Ebron showing his true colors with his stone hands and Hardcore was done. Shitty way to go out  and have your season come crashing down.



 Death Valley Driver emerges from slumber, overwhelms Dancin’ Dennis Nedry
For all the joking and trash talk I’ve given this year for getting lucky, this wasn’t really luck. His team was nuts, and he played the hot hand against his own team’s terrible defense (Derrick Henry). Dancin’ Dennis was behind the 8-ball early, when Tyreek Hill put up a stinker on Thursday, got worse when Lamar Miller got injured on the Texans first series on Saturday, and was topped off by JuJu playing in a game that didn’t turn out to be a shootout.  Here's a graphic representation of how Dancin' Dennis felt during the weekend:


It was some bad luck for DDN, but he still would have beaten every team in the consolation bracket (not that it’s any consolation for the the league’s second leading scorer).


Because OH! The consolation bracket, or what I’ve been referring to as the Garbage Bowl. What a dumpster fire. 



It’s not really a chastisement of their teams, but helps illustrate how weird and low-scoring the week was for fantasy football, and the NFL on the whole (little bit more on that later).

Panic Time Squad wins low scoring affair over Iron Ryan, 64.5-61
Remember last week when both these teams were challenging for a playoff spot? Gus Edwards and Julio Jones led the scoring for Iron Ryan, who also got nothing from his TE spot and less than nothing from his kicker spot. Panic Time stays in the running for the extra $5 in scratch tickets, thanks to a few more points from Julian Edelman and Big Ben. Combined, these two wouldn't have beaten Death Valley Driver.
Scrote Squad topples Pedro Pickles, 83-52.5
Once Pickles didn’t play Damien Williams on Thursday night, and LeSean McCoy was ruled out on Sunday, he was forced to roll with Chris Thompson. And that’s never a good thing. With Patrick Mahomes putting up a pedestrian score (for him), Pickles was destined to struggle. Not that Scrote’s guys played much better, aside from Christian McCaffrey.
Released Dix On Boobies dodges his second straight Garbage Bowl “title”, defeats Team Provost, 80.5-48.5
This is almost the biggest weird one of the week. Provost has ridden Zeke and Saquon all year: no one has more points from the RB slot. But this week? Neither of those guys could do a darn thing. His lack of depth (or really any good, consistent players outside those two RBs) really showed in this one. On the Boobies (heh) side, Russell Wilson and the Vikings D scored 15 points, his two WRs scored 11.5 each, but then the rest was underwhelming. Or maybe just whelming, given the overall scores this week.



Man, oh, man. Thanks to Kevin's Home Alone GIF suggestion, I'm not considering re-naming the "Garbage Bowl" (which I guess I just named?) the "Les Incompetents Bowl." Thoughts? Anyway....moving on!





Title Game Preview
It’s The Jeff Fisher Effect vs. Death Valley Driver in a rematch of last year’s Championship game. DVD is hoping it goes the other way this year. He’ll need another big game from DeAndre Hopkins and Derrick Henry to make it happen. Fisher Effect is hoping Melvin Gordon returns from injury to have a shot.

Garbage Bowl Preview
It’s Pickles vs. Provost here, and imagine they put up scores like they did this past week? They barely combined for 100 this week. If Provost gets his usual from Zeke and Saquon, he’ll be tough to beat. If Pickles get his usual from Mahomes...same thing.

The Week of Futility
Our 10 teams combined to score 791.5 this week. Our second lowest scoring week this year was last week: we scored 1025 points, a difference of 231.5 points. Trey Wingo talked about a good reason for the low fantasy scores in a tweet on Monday:



So just how low scoring was this week in STPS? Well, the 793.5 points was a number we surpassed 4 times in 2014. For clarity's sake, in 2014, we did not give the half-point per reception. Oh…and we only had 8 teams.



Our previous low week was Week 1 of last year, when we managed only 802.5 points. But that was Week 1, and it wasn’t a major deal; we all had the entire season ahead of us.

The thing that gets me about this week is just how much lower it was than EVERY other weeek we've had this year. Such a weird statistical anomaly of a week.


Also, on any other week that wasn't the playoffs, there would have been much more attention drawn to the incredibly low scores of Pedro Pickles and Team Provost, both in the bottom 10 all-time. So....


(I hadn't seen this movie enough times to notice the van was a Dodge in this scene. Classic humor.) 

End of Season: The Gathering
Just a reminder, we decided on January 6th for our year-end fiesta. Shall we do Rumbleseat again? Or perhaps we should wait to decide on venue when we know if the Patriots or Cowboys might be playing that weekend?

I gather you'll hear from me again before the holiday, but if not...



Tuesday, December 11, 2018

Week 14, or The Tie Heard 'Round the League


Generally, when I work overnights on the weekend (as I did this past weekend), I spend some time on Sunday night, after the Sunday Night Football game, getting a headstart on the Notes for the week. So I woke up this morning, came downstairs, poured my coffee and checked the scoreboard. My jaw dropped when I saw the Iron Ryan vs. Panic Time Squad score. Nope, hadn’t thought of THAT possibility. And so, I had to re-write some portions. That’s what I get for trying to get ahead. Anyway…

RECAPS!


The Jeff Fisher Effect holds on, clinches final playoff spot with win over Hardcore Sacks, 121-118.5
George Kittle brought the heat in this one, dropping 33.5 points to lead The Effect to victory. A multitude of double-digit scorers like Nick Chubb and Aaron Jones (among others) for Hardcore kept the game close. So close, in fact, that had Greg The Leg made the 40 yard field goal he missed in the 4th quarter on Sunday night, the outcome of this game would have flipped. (Sorry, Tim, I’m sure you didn’t want to hear that.) These two will face-off again next week in the Semifinal Round.



Death Valley Driver eliminates Pedro Pickles, 89-85
Eighty-nine points is all it took to end Pedro Pickles playoff possibilities. It was DVD’s fifth win while scoring less than 100 points this season, which ties a league record (more on that later). Pickles got bit by injuries to LeSean McCoy (who missed most of his game) and any useful player on his bench. And his starters just didn’t produce. It’s a bitter pill for Pickles, who probably deserved to be in the playoffs. Meanwhile, DVD moves on to be a presumed punching bag in the playoffs.



Iron Ryan and Panic Time Squad take 10 paces, draw, and both die, 100.5-100.5
Each of these teams needed to win and get some help to make the playoffs. It never occurred to me, but a tie would have also worked, had Fisher Effect not managed a win. Iron Ryan put up his usual un-high score. His 100.5 was more than his weekly average this year, though more than half his points came from Tom Brady (24 points) and Julio Jones (27).  The Emmanuel Sanders mid-week injury put a dent in his chances. PTSd continued to get bitten by his mediocre RB situation. He started Doug Martin (9 points) and some guy named Jeff Wilson (9.5 points), while leaving Spencer Ware and Kenyan Drake (both scored 14.5) on his bench. Big Ben’s mid-game injury hurt him here. And then, Adam Thielen came in to rescue him on Monday night. Unfortunately for both these teams, it didn’t matter after The Effect won his game. But the tie makes the Garbage Bowl more interesting than I thought.


Team Provost blasts Released Dix On Boobies, 127-83
Amari Cooper led Provost to the victory and this week’s Tidwell with a second blow-up performance in three weeks. Saquon and Zeke weren’t too bad either. Too bad for Provost (and maybe good for the rest of us), he isn’t in the playoffs. Boobies was dealt the rough hand of losing James Conner to injury this week and Kareem Hunt to stupidity last week, and his RBs just couldn’t recover. To make matters worse, his keeper Derrick Henry) who he’d long since given up on scored 51 points on Thursday night. To make those bad matters even just a little bit worse, the RB he picked up to use (Isaiah Crowell) missed most of his game with injury.

Dancin’ Dennis Nedry taps Scrote Squad, 114.5-86
Todd Gurley is the #2 player in our fantasy league this year. He had a bad game and DDN still had the fire power to win. JuJu Smith-Schuster picked up the slack, and Tyreek Hill was his usual self. It also doesn’t hurt that Scrote Squad started two other members of the Rams offense that could do basically nothing against the Bears D on Sunday night. Jared Goff’s goose egg really put a damper on Scrote’s chances in this one. The game really only mattered for seeding in the Loser’s Bracket.

Playoff Preview
Hardcore Sacks and the Jeff Fisher Effect will face off again this week. It doesn’t really look promising for Fisher Effect to be able to beat Hardcore two weeks in a row. I just don’t see it happening. And it will be exponentially harder if Melvin Gordon isn’t back from injury.

Dancin’ Dennis gets Death Valley Driver, which one would assume will be a win for Dancin’ Dennis; his team really is better. But imagine a world where DVD pulls off another sub-100 point win and sneaks into the Finals.

Thanks to that missed field goal, we now have a 75 percent chance of our first two-time champion. I'm guessing each of these guys wants it pretty badly.

Garbage Bowl Preview
Panic Time and Iron Ryan will do battle again in the first round, thanks to their tie. Thanks to their tie, neither of these teams will be in the running to be The Worst.

It’s bad luck for Pedro Pickles that he winds up here, because he’s in the running for the Worst, the week immediately following a shot at the playoffs. Plus, he’s the #4 scorer in our league, but has the potential to end up as The Worst. And he’s got the tall task of going up against Scrote Squad, who deserved better than he got this year.

Based on his last two weeks, it’s also sort of bad luck that Provost is even one of the bottom two seeds. But I guess someone has to be, right? I say "sort of" because Amari Cooper has gone for over 30 points, or under 10. Otherwise, his team hasn't been great, aside from those RBs. Boobies (heh) is really hoping that James Conner comes back this week to have a shot, or he seems destined to be headed to his third ever The Worst Bowl.

I never would have thought I needed to throw this in there, but because of The Tie, I should mention the playoff tiebreaker listed in our constitution: ties are broken by the most bench points.

How big was that Greg Zuerlein miss to our playoff picture? If he makes that kick, Hardcore beats The Effect. Which would have meant Panic Time would have made the playoffs because he has more points than Iron Ryan. Iron Ryan would be playing The Effect with a leg up on the extra $5 in scratchers for next year's draft. 

Shake Your Money Maker
As previously mentioned (but I started this portion of the notes, so I can’t not do it), Team Provost is this week’s Tidwell Award winner. With this win, 4 of the 6 non-playoff teams have more Tidwell Awards than the #4 seed this year, The Jeff Fisher Effect.



Winning while scoring less than 100 points
I also mentioned earlier that Death Valley Driver won his fifth game this year with a score of less than 100 points. Three other teams have accomplished the same feat during the 14 weeks of the regular season: Boobies (heh) in both 2016 AND 2017, and Hardcore in 2017.

The interesting part here is: Boobies (heh) went a total of 9-14 in games where he scored less than 100 over those two years; Hardcore was 5-7 last year. None of these teams made the playoffs. Their winning percentage in these games is .400. Good batting average, not a good winning percentage.

Death Valley Driver failed to top the 100-point mark 7 times this year: he is 5-2 in those games, good for a .714 winning percentage. It’s a little bit fluky. But hey, that’s fantasy football.



I don’t have an overall winning percentage for the league in games we score under 100. Yet. I promise to bring that to our End of Season: The Gathering.

End of Season: The Gathering
Speaking of which, when should we have it this year? I tossed out January 5-6 in the GroupMe, but not much in the way of response. I like the idea of it being that weekend: there will be a game on, and we can also do our usual fun and frivolity. Would the Sunday be better for people, if we do 1:00 in the afternoon?